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Dynamical Coupled-Channel Model of $πN$ Scattering in the W $\leq$ 2 GeV Nucleon Resonance Region
As a first step to analyze the electromagnetic meson production reactions in the nucleon resonance region, the parameters of the hadronic interactions of a dynamical coupled-channel model, developed i...
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'Jet breaks' and 'missing breaks' in the X-Ray afterglow of Gamma Ray Bursts
The X-ray afterglows (AGs) of Gamma-Ray Bursts (GRBs) and X-Ray Flashes (XRFs) have, after the fast decline phase of their prompt emission, a temporal behaviour varying between two extremes. A large f...
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Unveiling obscured accretion in the Chandra Deep Field South
A large population of heavily obscured, Compton Thick AGNs is predicted by models of galaxy formation, models of Cosmic X-ray Background and by the ``relic'' super-massive black-hole mass function mea...
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Understanding Attitudes and Predicting Social Behavior
First published in 1980...
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Search for muon-neutrino to electron-neutrino transitions in MINOS
This letter reports on a search for $\nu_\mu \to \nu_e$ transitions by the MINOS experiment based on a \unit[$3.14\times10^{20}$]{protons-on-target} exposure in the Fermilab NuMI beam. We observe 35 e...
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Impact of climate change and climate anomalies on hydrologic and biogeochemical processes in an agri
Nutrient export from agricultural landscapes is a water quality concern and the cause of mitigation activities worldwide. Climate change impacts hydrology and nutrient cycling by changing soil moistur...
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Predictive systems living with imperfect predictors
"The standard regression approach to modeling return predictability seems too restrictive in one way but too lax in another. A predictive regression models expected returns as an exact linear functio...
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Optimization of extraction process and investigation of antioxidant effect of polysaccharides from t
This article is from Pharmacognosy Magazine , volume 7 . Abstract Objective:: To optimize the extraction technology for polysaccharides from the root of Limonium sinense (Girard) Kuntze, Plumbaginacea...
View Book →Predicting global stock returns
"I test for stock return predictability in the largest and most comprehensive data set analyzed so far, using four common forecasting variables: the dividend- and earnings-price ratios, the short inte...
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Modeling the water line emission from the high-mass star-forming region AFGL2591
Context: observations of water lines are a sensitive probe of the geometry, dynamics and chemical structure of dense molecular gas. The launch of Herschel with on board HIFI and PACS allow to probe th...
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Criminal futures : predictive policing and everyday police work
"This book explores how predictive policing transforms police work. Police departments around the world have started to use data-driven applications to produce crime forecasts and intervene into the f...
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Stabilization of Topological Insulator Emerging from Electron Correlations on Honeycomb Lattice and
Realization and design of topological insulators emerging from electron correlations, called topological Mott insulators (TMIs), is pursued by using mean-field approximations as well as multi-variable...
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H2 reformation in post-shock regions
H2 formation is an important process in post-shock regions, since H2 is an active participant in the cooling and shielding of the environment. The onset of H2 formation therefore has a strong effect o...
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Pseudo market timing and predictive regressions
"A number of studies claim that aggregate managerial decision variables, such as aggregate equity issuance, have power to predict stock or bond market returns. Recent research argues that these resul...
View Book →Predicting turning points
"This paper presents a new method for predicting turning points. The paper formally defines a turning point; develops a probit model for estimating the probability of a turning point; and then examine...
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Interpretable Machine Learning
A Guide for Making Black Box Models Explainable...
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The predictive content of commodity futures
"An NBER digest for this paper is available.This paper examines the relationship between spot and futures prices for a broad range of commodities, including energy, precious and base metals, and agric...
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The Spitzer c2d Survey of Large, Nearby, Interstellar Clouds. IV. Lupus Observed with MIPS
We present maps of 7.78 square degrees of the Lupus molecular cloud complex at 24, 70, and $160\:\mu$m. They were made with the Spitzer Space Telescope's Multiband Imaging Photometer for Spitzer (MIPS...
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Predictive HR Analytics
First published in 2016...
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Modeling uncertainty predictive accuracy as a proxy for predictive confidence
"This paper evaluates current strategies for the empirical modeling of forecast behavior. In particular, we focus on the reliability of using proxies from time series models of heteroskedasticity to ...
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Nucleosynthesis and the variation of fundamental couplings
We determine the influence of a variation of the fundamental ``constants'' on the predicted helium abundance in Big Bang Nucleosynthesis. The analytic estimate is performed in two parts: the first ste...
View Book →Interpreting long-horizon estimates in predictive regressions
"This paper analyzes the asymptotic properties of long-horizon estimators under both the null hypothesis and an alternative of predictability. Asymptotically, under the null of no predictability, the...
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Predictive regressions a present-value approach
"The NBER Bulletin on Aging and Health provides summaries of publications like this. You can sign up to receive the NBER Bulletin on Aging and Health by email. We propose a latent variables approach...
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What are the benefits of bound (protonation) states for the electron-transfer kinetics?
We describe a model of electron transfer reactions affected by local binding to the donor or acceptor sites of a particle in equilibrium with the solution. The statistics of fluctuations of the donor-...
View Book →Understanding the predictive analytics lifecycle
"A high-level, informal look at the different stages of the predictive analytics cycleUnderstanding the Predictive Analytics Lifecycle covers each phase of the development of a predictive analytics in...
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The Elements of Statistical Learning
First published in 2001...
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CP violation due to multi Froggatt-Nielsen fields
We study how to incorporate CP violation in the Froggatt--Nielsen (FN) mechanism. To this end, we introduce non-renormalizable interactions with a flavor democratic structure to the fermion mass gener...
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Atomistic Simulations of the Mechanical Properties of 'Super' Carbon Nanotubes
The mechanical properties of the so-called `super' carbon nanotubes (STs) are investigated using classical molecular dynamics simulations. The STs are built from single walled carbon nanotubes (SWCNTs...
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The challenge of predicting economic crises
"July 2000"--T.p. verso. "This Economic Issue draws on material originally contained in IMF Occasional Paper 186, 'Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises: The Role of Early Warning Systems' ... and "...
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Judy Moody Predicts the Future
First published in 2003...
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The Stambaugh bias in panel predictive regressions
"This paper analyzes predictive regressions in a panel data setting. The standard fixed effects estimator suffers from a small sample bias, which is the analogue of the Stambaugh bias in time-series ...
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Biopython: Tutorial and Cookbook
Python Tools for Computational Molecular Biology...
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Evaluation of the Shreveport predictive policing experiment
"Even though there is a growing interest in predictive policing, to date there have been few, if any, formal evaluations of these programs. This report documents an assessment of a predictive policing...
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The nature and descendants of Lyman-break galaxies in the LambdaCDM cosmology
We predict the formation histories, properties and descendants of Lyman-break galaxies (LBGs) in the Lambda-CDM cosmology. In our model, which incorporates a top-heavy IMF in starbursts, we find that ...
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The predictive power of the yield curve across countries and time
"In recent years, there has been renewed interest in the yield curve (or alternatively, the term premium) as a predictor of future economic activity. In this paper, we re-examine the evidence for thi...
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Predictive astrology
First published in 1977...
View Book →Predicting cycles in economic activity
"Predicting cycles in economic activity is one of the more challenging but important aspects of economic forecasting. This paper reports the results from estimation of binary probit models that predi...
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Work, work fluctuations, and the work distribution in a thermal non-equilibrium steady state
Long-ranged correlations generically exist in non-equilibrium fluid systems. In the case of a non-equilibrium steady state caused by a temperature gradient the correlations are especially long-ranged ...
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Llewellyn's complete book of predictive astrology
First published in 2011...
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The Link between Entropic Uncertainty and Nonlocality
Two of the most intriguing features of quantum physics are the uncertainty principle and the occurrence of nonlocal correlations. The uncertainty principle states that there exist pairs of incompatibl...
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Crystallization of a classical two-dimensional electron system: Positional and orientational orders
Crystallization of a classical two-dimensional one-component plasma (electrons interacting with the Coulomb repulsion in a uniform neutralizing positive background) is investigated with a molecular dy...
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Predictive regressions with panel data
"This paper analyzes panel data inference in predictive regressions with endogenous and nearly persistent regressors. The standard fixed effects estimator is shown to suffer from a second order bias;...
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Quark mass hierarchy in 3-3-1 models
We study the mass spectrum of the quark sector in an special type I-like model with gauge symmetry $SU(3)_c \otimes SU(3)_L \otimes U(1)_X$. By considering couplings with scalar triplets at large ($\s...
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Star guide to predictive astrology
First published in 2001...
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The 32nd Mersenne Prime: Predicted by Mersenne
Public domain book available via Project Gutenberg....
View Book →Foundations of predictive analytics
"Preface this text is a summary of techniques of data analysis and modeling that the authors have encountered and used in our two-decades experience of practicing the art of applied data mining across...
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A stopped Delta-Matter Source in Heavy Ion Collisions at 10 GeV/n
We predict the formation of highly dense baryon-rich resonance matter in Au+Au collisions at AGS energies. The final pion yields show observable signs for resonance matter. The Delta(1232) resonance i...
View Book →Predictive analytics : the power to predict who will click, buy, lie, or die
"Predictive analytics unleashes the power of data. With this technology, computers literally learn from data how to predict future behaviors of individuals. In this updated and revised edition of Pred...
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The value spread as a predictor of returns
"Recent studies have used the value spread to predict aggregate stock returns to construct cash-flow betas that appear to explain the size and value anomalies. We show that two related variables, the...
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Time Predictions
Understanding and Avoiding Unrealism in Project Planning and Everyday Life...
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